Showing posts with label polls. Show all posts
Showing posts with label polls. Show all posts

Monday, July 7, 2008

The Interpretation of Polls


CNNMoney is reporting here that their latest opinion polls suggest 3 in four Americans believe that the economy is in recession. Besides the 'duh' factor that goes along with such a headline, I almost laughed when they continued to compare the 75% statistic with the 79% result that they got in a an April poll with the same questions. You guessed it, the article is positive wherein they suggest that the drop of 4% is a good sign of ...something.

Why is this laughable? Well, first off, this is an opinion poll and doesn't actually represent anything about the current state of the economy. Moreover, a drop of 4% in public opinion could be nothing more than an anomaly - especially a differential of only 4%! I do understand that the media is working its spin doctors to turn absolutely every bit of news into a positive headline, but this is getting to be a little ridiculous. Almost every business leader has not only been referring to the current recession as a given, but has gone on to suggest that we're in it for the long haul.